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The May 2026 Global Investment Risk and Resilience Index (GIRRI) Special Edition shows how country rankings have shifted following recent geopolitical shocks by overlaying long-term structural resilience with real-time market risk signals using Country Risk Premium (CRP) data as at 1 April 2026. The rankings reflect a composite measure of both risk and resilience, with higher-ranked countries generally exhibiting lower risk and greater resilience. Movements reflect relative positioning between countries rather than absolute changes in risk or resilience. See methodology note for further details.
The chart shows the countries that have moved up most in the rankings, reflecting relative resilience as risk has increased more rapidly elsewhere.
Sources
1Deloitte Global Economics Research Center, ‘India Economic Outlook, January 2026’ (15 January 2026) deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/asia-pacific/india-economic-outlook.html accessed 28 April 2026
2Xinhua, ‘Philippines' Foreign Reserves Rise to 112.5 bln USD in January’ (6 February 2026) english.news.cn/asiapacific/20260206/f2bbd1f041ab4014a726d6ef6399d7ed/c.html accessed 28 April 2026
3C. Cetinguc, ‘Turkey’s CDS Falls to Seven-Year Low as Foreign Interest Surges’ (2 December 2025) paturkey.com/news/2025/turkeys-cds-falls-to-seven-year-low-as-foreign-interest-surges-25720/ accessed 28 April 2026
4Tradeimex, ‘US–Mexico Trade Deal 2025: Latest Trends in US Imports from Mexico’ (16 September 2025) usimportdata.com/blogs/mexico-exports-to-us-2024-25 accessed 28 April 2026
5H. Afeznaoui, ‘Moody’s Revises Morocco’s Outlook to ‘Positive,’ Citing Growth Prospects’ (7 March 2026) moroccoworldnews.com/2026/03/281905/moodys-revises-moroccos-outlook-to-positive-citing-growth-prospects/ accessed 28 April 2026
6Bank of Thailand, ‘Thai Economy’, bot.or.th/en/thai-economy.html accessed 28 April 2026
7Moody’s, ‘Moody’s Ratings Upgrades Brazil’s Ratings to Ba1 and Maintains the Positive Outlook’ ratings.moodys.com/ratings-news/429722 accessed 28 April 2026
You can view the original GIRRI, published in October 2025, here.
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